We also don’t know what the overall national environment was on Tuesday. States like Colorado and Florida may be trending in different directions relative to their historic norms, so results like these may say as much about the electorate as the candidates. If The Upshot’s estimates are right, then Democrats will have outperformed the partisan lean of the state in all but two battleground Senate races: Washington, where Republican Tiffany Smiley seems to have held her own against incumbent Democrat Patty Murray, and Florida, where Marco Rubio appears to have cruised to reelection by double digits. The projected final margin for these races is according to The New York Times’s “Needle,” which stopped being updated at 4 a.m. Democratic Senate candidates outperformed state partisan leanĭifference between FiveThirtyEight partisan-lean index and projected final margin for Democratic candidates in battleground Senate races State
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